Can NATO Survive a Fight Over Greenland? | The Rundown

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At Davos, Prime Minister Mark Carney reiterated Canada’s support for Greenland and Denmark. And for Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty. Is this the most critical test the alliance has faced since it was established almost 80 years ago? And how have Trump's threats affected the future of security in the Arctic?

The Rundown welcomes Roland Paris, director of the Graduate School of Public and International Affairs at the University of Ottawa; Stephanie Carvin, an associate professor of international relations at Carleton University’s Norman Paterson School of International Affairs; and Robert Fife, the Globe and Mail’s Ottawa bureau chief.

0:00 – Intro
0:13 – Trump’s Greenland Threat & Global Shock
0:31 – Could the U.S. Actually Use Force?
0:55 – A Veiled Threat at Davos
1:21 – The Growing Crisis Inside NATO
1:48 – What Happens if a NATO Member Attacks Another?
2:01 – Poland Warns of a “Political Disaster”
2:16 – TVO Unravelled: What’s at Stake for NATO?
2:38 – Trump’s Tariffs & Pressure Campaign
3:02 – Why NATO Isn’t Built for Internal Conflict
3:33 – The Unreal Scenario: One Ally Threatening Another
4:05 – Trump Suggests NATO Should Help Annex Greenland
4:50 – Diplomacy Under Strain
5:17 – Could Pressure on Trump Backfire?
5:58 – Would Europe Support Canada or Denmark?
6:29 – Canada Reaffirms Article 5 Support
6:47 – Is This NATO’s Biggest Test Since WWII?
7:00 – Expert Panel: What’s Next for Global Security?
7:42 – What Trump’s “Framework Deal” Really Means
8:20 – Why Trump Shifted Tactics in Europe
9:09 – Greenland, Sovereignty & the Red Line for Denmark
10:00 – Why This Crisis Isn’t Over
12:00 – Mark Carney’s Davos Speech Shakes the Room
13:37 – Breaking Down the Rules‑Based Order
14:10 – How Carney’s Words Hit Washington
15:00 – Did Trump’s Tariff Threat Backfire?
15:59 – Can Middle Powers Push Back?
17:02 – Trump’s Divide‑and‑Conquer Strategy
17:48 – What Game Is Trump Really Playing?
19:06 – The Bigger Picture: U.S., China & Global Pressure
20:19 – Is Canada Ready to Defend the Arctic?
21:19 – Defence Spending, Procurement & Delays
22:17 – NATO & Arctic Alliances Beyond the U.S.
23:06 – Will NATO Survive This Crisis?
25:01 – The Risk to the Baltic States
26:00 – The U.S. Debate: NATO’s Future at Home
27:10 – Could We See a “Zombie NATO”?
27:46 – Why Europe Still Needs U.S. Bases
28:13 – A Rough Road Ahead for the Alliance
28:27 – Final Thoughts & Viewer Call to Action

About The Rundown:

The Rundown is your nightly half-hour deep dive into just one headline. With host Jeyan Jeganathan, we’ll cover everything from housing and health care to climate and AI. We’ll break down why each topic matters, who’s living it, and what’s being done to make things better – starting right here in Ontario. Slow down. Tune in. Make sense of the moment. And tell us what you think.
Category
ATLANTIC ROAD
Tags
Arctic Council, Arctic geopolitics, Arctic security
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